New Year’s Day Horse Racing Tips, 1 January 2025

New Year’s Day brings us a feast of horse racing action, with Cheltenham taking centre stage. While the day is quieter for tipping, there are still some intriguing angles for punters to explore. Below, we provide insights and tips for the key races at Cheltenham and Musselburgh.

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Weather and Ground Conditions

The going at Cheltenham is soft and expected to deteriorate into heavy, with up to 24mm of rain forecast over the weekend. At Musselburgh, conditions are softer, with good-to-soft patches. However, dry weather is predicted for the next two days, which may improve the going slightly.

Cheltenham Tips and Analysis

12:55 – Novices’ Handicap Chase – No Bet

This five-runner race looks deceptively competitive, with four of the runners having solid claims. Petite Tonnerre’s mark of 138 appears exploitable, though there’s uncertainty about his readiness for the day. Fine Casting’s stamina and Libberty Hunter’s potential make them interesting, but the value isn’t compelling enough for a bet.

13:30 – Handicap Chase – No Bet

Inch House is the standout in this small field, boasting strong form and plenty of promise. However, his ability to handle heavy ground is untested, which makes his 13/8 odds unappealing. Stumptown, equipped with blinkers for the first time, could pose a threat if he recaptures his best form.

14:05 – Handicap Chase – No Bet

Stage Star, a Turners Novices’ Chase winner, heads the field and could outclass his rivals. However, conceding at least 12lbs to all competitors on heavy ground may prove challenging. Richmond Lake is an alternative, but doubts about his Aintree run make this a tough call.

14:40 – Handicap Hurdle – Back Springwell Bay

Jonjo O’Neill’s Springwell Bay (13/2) is our pick in this competitive 3m hurdle. Although stepping up in trip and carrying a first-time tongue-tie, he has shown significant potential and handles testing ground well. Ed Keeper also deserves respect following an impressive Newbury win, but Springwell Bay’s 143 mark could give him an edge in this field.

15:15 – Relkeel Hurdle – No Bet

Marie’s Rock, the defending champion, holds strong claims despite a penalty and an underwhelming seasonal debut. Bob Olinger looks dangerous if he builds on his recent win, but with just four runners, there’s little value in this tricky contest.

Musselburgh Tips and Analysis

13:10 – Handicap Hurdle – No Bet

Without market prices available, it’s difficult to assess this 2m3f hurdle. Watch the betting closer to the start for potential opportunities.

14:20 – Handicap Chase – No Bet

Similarly, the 2m4f chase awaits final market movements before offering a clearer picture of the contenders.

Quick Picks Summary

• Cheltenham Tips:
  • 12:20 – Peaky Boy
  • 12:55 – Matata
  • 13:30 – Inch House
  • 14:05 – Stage Star
  • 14:40 – Springwell Bay (Back at 13/2)
  • 15:15 – Marie’s Rock
  • 15:50 – La Marquise
• Musselburgh:
  • Wait for confirmed markets before betting.

Final Thoughts

New Year’s Day racing is a showcase of class and stamina, especially with the testing conditions at Cheltenham. While it’s a relatively quiet day for tips, Springwell Bay stands out as a promising contender in the 14:40 at Cheltenham. Remember to monitor the markets for any last-minute changes, particularly at Musselburgh.

Good luck, and here’s to a successful start to the new year!