Premier League Betting Tips: January 31-2 February 2026

Key takeaway bullets (TL;DR)

• Leeds’ home resilience may trouble sputtering Arsenal.
• Everton’s away solidity hints at a low‑scoring tussle in Brighton.
• Chelsea’s winning streak versus West Ham makes the Blues hard to oppose.
• Injury‑hit Spurs could find free‑scoring City too strong.
• Sunderland remain unbeaten at home and face a Burnley side without a league win since October

Match previews and betting angles

Leeds United v Arsenal: can the Gunners regain momentum?

Arsenal’s title push has stuttered. A 3‑2 defeat to Manchester United was part of a three‑game winless run, and although they still top the table, only two victories from their last six away matches suggest vulnerability. Leeds love life at Elland Road – they’ve suffered only two home losses and have scored in 10 of 11 home games. However, Arsenal have won six straight league meetings with Leeds, so history favours the visitors. Defensive reinforcements return for Arsenal, while Leeds may remain without Jaka Bijol.

Tip

• Both teams to score – Leeds’ attacking form and Arsenal’s defensive wobbles point to goals at both ends.

Brighton & Hove Albion v Everton: who’s brave enough to attack?

Brighton’s season has been a mixed bag: just one win in 10 league games. Their home record remains solid with 20 points from 11 games, yet they haven’t beaten Everton at the Amex since 2019. Everton, meanwhile, have kept five clean sheets in their last six away matches, despite only two wins in eight overall. The Toffees are without Jack Grealish and could rotate, while Brighton’s injury list includes Solly March and Adam Webster.

Tip

• Under 2.5 goals – Everton’s defence has been miserly and Brighton are struggling for cutting edge.

Chelsea v West Ham United: London derby or one‑way traffic?

New manager Liam Rosenior has transformed Chelsea, winning five of their last six games. The Blues have also dominated this fixture, scoring 109 goals across 59 Premier League meetings with West Ham and winning the last four by a 15‑2 aggregate. West Ham’s mini‑revival of three straight wins has lifted spirits but they remain in the bottom three. Moreover, the Hammers have only one victory in their last 19 away trips to Stamford Bridge. Chelsea remain without Levi Colwill and Romeo Lavia, while West Ham travel with minimal injuries.

Tip

• Chelsea to win and over 2.5 goals – the Blues’ attacking momentum and West Ham’s poor away record point to a comfortable home success.

Liverpool v Newcastle United: a revival or more frustration?

Liverpool still seek their first Premier League win of 2026 after conceding stoppage‑time heart‑breakers, including a 3‑2 loss at Bournemouth. They bounced back by thrashing Qarabag 6‑0 in Europe and are unbeaten in seven at Anfield. Newcastle’s domestic form has dipped; they were beaten by Aston Villa and have gone scoreless in their last two league games. History isn’t on their side either – the Magpies haven’t won at Anfield since the mid‑1990s. Liverpool’s defensive crisis continues, with several full‑backs and centre‑backs unavailable. Newcastle could welcome back Bruno Guimaraes but remain depleted in defence.

Tip

• Both teams to score – Liverpool’s defensive absences and Newcastle’s need for points could produce an open contest.

Wolverhampton Wanderers v Bournemouth: six‑pointer in the cellar

Wolves remain rooted to the bottom, 17 points from safety. They’ve improved defensively, keeping consecutive home clean sheets, but they’ve lost their last three home meetings with Bournemouth. The Cherries, meanwhile, have revived their season with stoppage‑time wins over Tottenham and Liverpool and sit comfortably in mid‑table. However, Bournemouth have just one away victory this term and concede plenty on their travels. Wolves remain without Toti Gomes and Jean‑Ricner Bellegarde; Bournemouth lack several creative players and have David Brooks listed as doubtful.

Tip

• Bournemouth draw no bet – the visitors’ recent attacking verve makes them safer than backing misfiring Wolves outright.

Aston Villa v Brentford: Midlands joy or Bees’ buzz?

Aston Villa continue to defy expectations, closing the gap to leaders Arsenal to four points after beating Newcastle. They’ve done so despite losing midfield stars Boubacar Kamara, John McGinn and Youri Tielemans, although the return of striker Tammy Abraham and playmaker Douglas Luiz boosts their creativity. Brentford, surprisingly in the European hunt, have lost back‑to‑back games but sit eighth. Villa’s home record is formidable, and they’ve taken four wins and two draws from their last six meetings with the Bees. Both sides average more than 2.5 goals per game. Villa’s absentee list still includes Ross Barkley, Kamara, McGinn, Tielemans and Andreas Garcia, while Brentford may be without Mikkel Damsgaard and Kristoffer Ajer.

Tip

• Over 2.5 goals – with both sides averaging plenty of goals, expect a high‑scoring encounter.

Manchester United v Fulham: can Carrick’s revival continue?

Michael Carrick’s United have beaten both Manchester City and Arsenal in consecutive weeks. They are on a six‑game unbeaten run and have scored in 11 straight league matches, conceding just one goal in their last three at Old Trafford. Fulham arrive buoyed by five wins in eight outings and have taken 10 points from their last five away games after a poor start. They held United to a 1‑1 draw earlier this season and even won at Old Trafford in 2024. United’s only fresh injury concern is explosive winger Patrick Dorgu; Fulham hope to have Kenny Tete back but remain without Rodrigo Muniz and Sasa Lukic.

Tip

• Both teams to score – Fulham’s improved attack and United’s free‑scoring nature suggest an entertaining game.

Nottingham Forest v Crystal Palace: survival scrap at the City Ground

Forest finally have momentum, going unbeaten in three league games and climbing to 17th. Goals remain scarce, with only 23 scored all season, yet they haven’t lost to Palace in 10 meetings and drew 1‑1 in August. Palace’s season has unravelled; they’re winless in 11 competitive matches and sit only three places above the drop zone. They’ve also lost their last five away games. Both teams have lengthy injury lists: Forest are without goalkeeper John Victor and striker Chris Wood; Palace lack Cheick Doucoure, Eddie Nketiah and several others, while Adam Wharton is suspended.

Tip

• Under 2.5 goals – neither side is prolific and history points to another low‑scoring affair.

Tottenham Hotspur v Manchester City: clash of walking wounded

Spurs have not tasted Premier League victory in five matches despite midweek European success. Injuries are biting hard: Pedro Porro, Ben Davies, Lucas Bergvall, Rodrigo Bentancur, Mohammed Kudus, Richarlison, James Maddison and Dejan Kulusevski are all ruled out. Micky van de Ven faces a late fitness test. City have their own woes – Jeremy Doku, Josko Gvardiol, Ruben Dias, Savinho and John Stones are among the absentees. Yet the champions arrive on a two‑game winning run and, crucially, boast the league’s top scorer up front. Spurs shocked City with a 2‑0 win at the Etihad earlier this season, but history rarely repeats itself. Add to that Spurs’ poor league position (14th) and City’s deeper squad, and the visitors look poised.

Tip

• Manchester City to win – injuries make this a tall order for Spurs, and City’s attacking depth should tell.

Sunderland v Burnley: fortress Stadium of Light

Sunderland have made an impressive return to the top flight, amassing 33 points and sitting 11th. Remarkably, they are the only Premier League team yet to lose at home, with six wins and five draws at the Stadium of Light. Burnley are 19th and winless in 14 league games. They’ve earned draws against Manchester United, Liverpool and Spurs in recent weeks but have the second‑worst away record and only one road win. Though Burnley beat Sunderland 2‑0 in August, the Black Cats have tightened up; their games average fewer than 2.5 goals and they share the league’s third‑best defence. Sunderland will miss Granit Xhaka and Bertrand Traoré, while Burnley’s long list of absentees includes Zeki Amdouni and Josh Cullen.

Tip

• Sunderland to win under 2.5 goals – the hosts’ unbeaten home record and Burnley’s goal drought make a low‑scoring home victory likely.

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The Premier League never ceases to surprise. Whether it’s Leeds rattling the leaders or Burnley fighting for survival, every match has its own story. Use these insights as a starting point, add your own judgement and, above all, enjoy the drama. For more insights, browse our FAQ section or revisit earlier tips on our homepage. Happy punting!