Premier League Betting Tips: 6-8 February 2026

TL;DR key takeaways

• Leeds look better at Elland Road than Forest; Friday’s clash may favour the hosts.
• Manchester United are flying under Carrick; Spurs have injuries.
• League‑leading Arsenal face a stubborn Sunderland but the visitors travel poorly.
• Bournemouth’s improved attack meets an injury‑hit Villa defence.
• Burnley and West Ham both need points; neither keeps clean sheets.
• Fulham are strong at Craven Cottage, but Everton travel well.
• Wolves can’t buy a goal; Chelsea’s new‑manager bounce continues.

The weekend narrative

If you’ve been following the Betting Tips page regularly, you’ll know that February football often produces surprises. This weekend begins with Leeds hosting Forest under the Elland Road lights before a packed Saturday slate and concludes with two Sunday derbies. Home advantage, mid‑season fatigue and injury lists could play a larger role than headline league positions suggest, so keeping track of form guides and injuries is essential. With that in mind, let’s delve into the key fixtures.

Leeds v Nottingham Forest: Can the Whites make home comfort count?

Leeds United sit 16th but have beaten Crystal Palace, Fulham and Chelsea recently on home soil. They face a Forest side just below them in the table; Forest drew 1‑1 with Crystal Palace last weekend and have two wins and two draws from their last four matches under new boss Sean Dyche. Leeds still have injury concerns, with striker Lukas Nmecha and midfielder Anton Stach sidelined, though defender Jaka Bijol and winger Daniel James return.

• Tip: Back the hosts or Draw in the double‑chance market – Leeds’ home resilience versus a Forest team still adjusting to Dyche could tilt things their way.

Manchester United v Tottenham: Momentum meets resilience

United have rediscovered their swagger under Michael Carrick, recording wins over Manchester City, Arsenal and Fulham. Spurs remain mid‑table but showed character in a 2‑2 draw with City despite off‑field turmoil and an extensive injury list: several starters are doubts or long‑term absentees. United’s injury worries are relatively minor.

• Tip: Consider backing United to win; they are in better form and Tottenham’s patched‑up defence may struggle.

Arsenal v Sunderland: Title chasers against plucky upstarts

Arsenal are unbeaten in 43 home games against newly promoted sides and recently demolished Leeds 4‑0. They top the table and reached the EFL Cup final, but injuries to key forwards and midfielders persist. Sunderland have surprised many by climbing to eighth, winning three of their last four matches, yet they haven’t won an away league game in seven attempts and could be without their inspirational captain.

• Tip: Arsenal to win with a clean sheet. The Gunners grind out home results, and Sunderland’s away drought and injuries suggest goals might be scarce.

Bournemouth v Aston Villa: Cherries’ revival versus Villa’s wobble

After an 11‑game winless run, Bournemouth have claimed 10 points from four unbeaten games and boast wins over Tottenham and Liverpool. However, defensive frailty remains; only the bottom three have conceded more goals and they are vulnerable from set pieces. Villa, once title outsiders, have lost three of their last six league matches. They remain strong on the road, winning eight of their last ten away games, but are missing several midfielders and possibly star striker Ollie Watkins.

• Tip: Both teams to score. Bournemouth’s open style and Villa’s away prowess point to goals at both ends.

Burnley v West Ham: A relegation six‑pointer

Second‑bottom Burnley have lost 15 league games and are winless in 15. Despite encouraging draws against United, Liverpool and Tottenham, they were hammered 3‑0 by Sunderland last time out. West Ham sit 18th and have thrown away leads repeatedly, dropping 18 points from winning positions. The Hammers have just one away win in ten and will be without centre‑back Jean‑Clair Todibo through suspension. Burnley have several injury absentees and rely heavily on two forwards who share ten of their 25 goals.

• Tip: Avoid backing either side outright. Instead, the “Both teams to score – Yes” market appeals: both defences leak goals and pressure could lead to mistakes.

Fulham v Everton: Defence versus attack at Craven Cottage

Fulham suffered a gut‑wrenching 94‑minute defeat at Old Trafford but have four successive home league wins. They sit ninth and could climb higher with a win. Everton are unbeaten in four and have the sixth‑best away record, conceding just 11 goals on their travels. However, they struggle to score away – only Sunderland and Wolves have fewer goals. Fulham may miss new signing Oscar Bobb and midfielder Sasa Lukic, while Everton’s marquee forward Jack Grealish is sidelined.

• Tip: Under 2.5 total goals. Everton’s defensive solidity and Fulham’s clinical but narrow home victories suggest a tight contest.

Wolves v Chelsea: Basement worries and Blue momentum

Wolves have failed to score in 13 of their 24 matches and are 18 points adrift of safety. New signings may freshen things up, but injuries and illness continue. Chelsea, rejuvenated under Liam Rosenior, have won six of eight in all competitions and pulled off a spirited comeback against West Ham. Their injury list remains long, with defenders and midfielders sidelined, yet they still carry far more attacking threat than Wolves.

• Tip: Chelsea to win. Expect the Blues to dominate possession against a Wolves side struggling to find the net.

Newcastle v Brentford: A test of nerve at St James’ Park

Newcastle exited the EFL Cup with a 5‑1 aggregate defeat to Manchester City and have not won in four competitive games. At home they are usually stronger, picking up nearly 70% of their points at St James’ Park and boasting nine wins from their last ten home meetings with Brentford. Injury problems abound; several midfielders and defenders are doubts. Brentford, meanwhile, stunned Aston Villa with a 1‑0 win despite playing with ten men. They have taken 16 points from the last eight gameweeks, second only to Arsenal, and sit seventh. Key attackers are absent through injury or suspension.

• Tip: Over 2.5 total goals. Brentford’s recent momentum and Newcastle’s leaky defence point towards an open encounter.

Brighton v Crystal Palace: The M23 derby under pressure

Brighton welcome Palace with Diego Gomez fit but Yasin Ayari and Mats Wieffer out. They’ve won only two of the last 13 meetings with Palace and both clubs have collected just nine points since December, the joint‑fewest in the league. Palace are winless in nine matches and have scored a league‑low five goals during that run. However, Brighton have lost just two of their last 20 home games.

• Tip: Both teams to score – No. With both sides misfiring, a low‑scoring derby seems likely.

Liverpool v Manchester City: A high‑stakes rivalry

Liverpool’s tactical shift after a surprise loss to Bournemouth has produced back‑to‑back thrashings of Qarabag (6‑0) and Newcastle (4‑1). Their forward line, spearheaded by summer signings, looks dangerous. Manchester City progressed to another cup final by beating Newcastle 3‑1 in midweek, yet they’ve been inconsistent in the league. Both sides are dealing with lengthy injury lists; Liverpool will again be without Jeremie Frimpong and Alexander Isak, while City have doubts over several starters (as per their press conference). Data analysis from Sports Mole gives Liverpool the edge and expects goals on both sides.

• Tip: Back “Both teams to score” and consider over 2.5 goals. Liverpool’s revived attack and City’s vulnerability on the break should lead to an entertaining affair.

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